Support for Poland's far-right party, the Confederation, has significantly dropped in the latest opinion poll, posing a challenge for the ruling Law & Justice party less than two months before the parliamentary election. The Confederation, which was once considered a potential kingmaker, saw a decline of 5.3 percentage points, falling to the fourth place with only 7.8% support in the survey conducted by United Surveys for the wp.pl website from August 18-20.
In contrast, the Law & Justice party experienced a slight increase of 1.6 percentage points, reaching 34.5% support. Meanwhile, the main opposition party, the Civic Platform, gained momentum, with their support rising by 3.1 percentage points, reaching 31.2%.
This latest poll suggests that the ruling party will face difficulties in forming a majority government for the third consecutive term. Based on the current level of support, they would only be able to secure 196 seats in the 460-seat lower chamber of the parliament.
These poll results paint an uncertain political landscape for Poland's upcoming parliamentary election. The decline in support for the Confederation indicates a shifting political climate, as the party was previously seen as a significant player in the political arena. The rise in support for both the ruling party and the opposition party reflects a potential shift in voter preferences.
The Law & Justice party will now have to strategize and potentially seek alliances in order to secure a governing majority. Failure to do so could result in a more fragmented political landscape and potential difficulties in passing legislation. As the election draws nearer, all parties will be closely monitoring the shifting dynamics and adjusting their campaigns accordingly.